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Friday, 30 March 12
RECOND NUMBERS SURROUNDING THE SUPRAMAX DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Last year proved to be both a record year in the number of deliveries of dry bulkers between 40,000dwt and 64,000dwt, as well as a record year in the percentage of cancellations and delays witnessed. According to a recent report from shipbroker Intermodal, "at the same time for 2012 we have already seen around 53 vessels being delivered so far, while another 437 are scheduled for delivery till the end of the year. This is the majority of the current orderbook accounting for just over 72 percent of its total.
With the overcapacity issue having already made its presence felt in the first two months of 2012, it is anticipated that the percentage of orders being delayed or cancelled is likely to accelerate this year, greatly outpacing what was seen in 2011. However even taking a modest approach, whereby expecting an equal rate of cancellations and delays as last year, at least 140 of the vessels scheduled for delivery for 2012, are unlikely to have entered the water by the end of the year.
"Simultaneously, there has been a growing interest in the new Ultramax designs, were we have already seen 9 vessels delivered in 2010, 20 in 2011 and another 4 this year so far. With many owners now unwilling to further add to the growing overcapacity problem, new orders this year have mainly focused on designs that offer any cost advantage when compared to the already in service fleet. These new Ultramax designs have offered much improvement in fuel efficiency while adding further cargo capacity when compared to the typical supramax designs" said Intermodal’s George Dimitriadis.
He concluded by mentioning that “few owners however, seem convinced of the benefits they will bring and even more that they will not be much better off than the rest of the fleet in period of poor freight market conditions. The truth is that, parcel sizes are unlikely to change that soon to accommodate the larger carrying capacity, while on the fuel efficiency part it seems as though the difference in consumption is relatively small, while with the ever increasing bunker prices, we are likely to see newer designs offering much higher fuel economy” said Dimitriadis.
In a separate report from Intermodal, George Eliades examined the latest data from China. He said that “with recent estimates putting Chinese growth below the levels originally hoped for, the shipping markets have started to feel the strain. Having said that growth levels are still more bullish then what has been witnessed lately in the commodities market, while the China’s economic policy priority has remained to maintain relatively fast growth. The question that has arisen these past months is as to what extent Beijing is willing to guard against inflation risks in favour of measure to push for faster growth.
China’s reforms to rebalance its economy have gone way beyond the housing sector and will continue to be targeted towards achieving relatively fast growth and stable prices that should help total trade maintain double digit growth this year, according to a recent speech given by Vice Premier Li Keqiang. "We will make policies more targeted, flexible and forward-looking to maintain relatively fast economic growth and keep price levels basically stable," he said in a speech at an economic policy conference. Li said that there were some encouraging signs emerging about the pace of global economic recovery, and forecast that China's total trade would top $10 trillion in the five years 2011-2015, but added that the outlook was not certain, with efforts to resolve Europe's debt crisis still evolving.
How does this translate for the shipping sector? “Well fears of a slowdown in China’s growth coupled with the poor performance of the US and European economies has already been well reflected in the dry commodities trade. Overall it has proven to be a slow start to the year. At the same time one must take into consideration that the market has fared considerably well if one takes into account the fact that we are undergoing a considerable increase in the number of vessels, while the intense stockpiling that went on before the start of the New year has led to a below average demand for cargoes in the first quarter. Having said that, with China’s policies now directly set to boost its trade growth, America showing signs of a slow but steady recovery and Europe looking to have smoothed out most of its major sovereign debt problems, dry bulk trade could start to pick up once again over the next quarter and although the oversupply issue continues, a more positive outlook maybe in the works after all” concluded Eliades.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 31 January 12
THERE ARE MANY GOOD REASONS FOR COAL IN GERMANY - DR CIESLIK
COALspot.com - "The year 2011 was again marked by many changes on the markets and energy policies, at times in line with expectations, but at o ...
Tuesday, 31 January 12
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS FALLING FOR WORST MONTH IN YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn't manage to put a halt in its downfall, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), posting yet another fa ...
Monday, 30 January 12
CHINA'S HUNGER FOR COAL LEAVES DENT IN PENNSYLVANIA'S SUPPLY - THOMAS LESKIN
With the price of heating oil on the rise, one of Pennsylvania's greatest natural resources - coal - is in high demand, and not just locally.
Et ...
Saturday, 28 January 12
WILL FREIGHT MARKET STABILIZE FROM NEXT WEEK?
COALspot.com - The markets continued to soften with BDI at 663 points down by 15.78 pct closing at 726 points and cape index was down by 5.73 pct cl ...
Friday, 27 January 12
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY NEEDS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THIS YEAR AS WELL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The oversupply of vessels in most shipping sectors is so intense that it’s become clear to ship owners that unless they scrap as many of their ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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