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Monday, 12 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The first days of March appear to be more encouraging for dry bulk operators, but the outlook is still gloomy for the rest of year with earnings for large sized vessels, capesizes floating below breakeven levels. The Baltic Dry Index records daily gains for eleven consecutive days, closing on Friday March 9th at 824 points, up by 6.8% on a weekly basis and up by 17% from February 23rd. All vessel categories experienced positive upturn apart from capesizes with supramaxes being the star performers of this week. The Baltic Supramax Index posted a 16% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 5% rise in the panamax and 7% in the handysize segment. Capesize vessel earnings remain downsized with industry players expecting a stronger Chinese steel production in March -April period and massive destocking of iron ore at major ports that will create more cargo loadings and lift earnings, at least near to $10,000/day.
The sentiment in China’s daily steel output has improved in February at 1,93 million tones, up from 1.83 million tons in January and 1.6827 million tons in December, as mills began ramping up operations ahead of a predicted recovery in demand in March and April. The figures of February are considerably higher than the estimates issued by China Iron and Steel Association, which calculated daily crude steel output at less than 1,7 million tones in February. Traders have said that recent destocking activity indicates further improvements in the market over the coming weeks. We may not see an immediate and rapid rise in steel output, but destocking is going on increasingly, so I am optimistic about steel prices because supply hasn't grown much”, said a trader based in Beijing. "Some new construction sites in northern Chinese regions have not started due to the cold snap, but once these new projects begin, it will provide a big lift for steel demand," he said, adding that he expected prices to keep rising until the end of April. China's industry ministry said China's crude steel output was expected to rise 7 percent to 730 million tons this year, after growing 8.9% last year. However, some steel mills have predicted that real demand could remain flat in 2012, and they warn of further losses over the course of the year as they try to overcome longstanding overcapacity issues.
Capesizes, which typically transport 150,000 ton cargoes of iron ore and coal, are currently earning $5,786/day, less than handysizes that earn more than $6,000 daily with the BCI loosing 22 points, down by 1.4% on a weekly basis and standing at 1503 points. Vale has completed its first VLOC transshipment of iron ore, which could drive more capesize tonnage requirements but the impact will be minor given the glut of ships. The long list of available ships for prompt employment continues to weigh heavily on the market with ships struggling to find cargo, especially in the Atlantic market. After a couple of weeks at $7.90, Rio Tinto shaved 10 cents off the rate for a March 21 onwards 160,000-tonne cargo from Dampier to China.
Panamax and supramax units continue to show stronger performance against capesize on the back of a firmer amount of global grain and coal fixtures activity. However, there are always exogenous threats on the prosperity with Indonesian National Shipowners Association, following China’s example, urging the government to pass the Domestic Transporter Obligation, which could mandate that 30% of all Indonesian coal shipments to be shipped on vessels owned by Indonesian shipping companies. According to Indonesian National Shipowners Association, foreign shipowners earned $14.4 billion in 2011 from exporting Indonesian coal with Indonesian shipowners wishing to receive a large share of this earned capital.
Panamaxes are currently earning $7,129/day with the BPI moving 45 points upward, 5.3% up on a weekly basis. The focus remains on east coast South America, with increased grain cargoes particularly for first half April sparking a rise in rates. A 1996-built 73,000 tonner agreed $15,750 daily plus a $575,000 bonus for the run east. Ships from the Continent and Mediterranean, as well as the Indian Ocean and south East Asia, eyed the South American market.
In the supramax market, vessels, which carry about 25 percent less than panamaxes, are the star performers during the first days of March by earning about $9,000/day with the BSI standing at 864 points, up by 16% on a weekly basis. However, supramaxes were getting more than $15,000/day last year, up by 77% from the current levels and 45% higher levels than capesizes. Rates in the Atlantic finally improved after the Far Eastern markets had been leading the way for quite some time. In the East, the south-east Asia mineral trades continued to absorb plenty of tonnage and the market consequently maintained a firming trend.
Handysize vessels, for three consecutive weeks have shown firmer returns with the BHSI standing at 469 points, a 7% week-on-week increase, and earnings rising to $7,106/day, but still 35% lower than last year’s levels.
The glut of new ship deliveries and the weak sentiment in China’s steel market are serious factors with a negative impact on the healthy performance of the capesize segment, which is the main driver lying behind the positive incline of the Baltic Dry Index, above the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark.
China’s announcement to lower its 2012 growth target to 7.5% after 7 consecutive years darkens the outlook of dry bulk shipping industry with insiders expecting a prolong of the shipping crisis. Moody’s Investor Service said that the global shipping slump is expected to stay till 2013, while growing credit squeeze will challenge even the toughest shipping companies. Rio Tinto PLC's (RIO) iron ore chief executive, Sam Walsh, said that he expects China to remain a key driver of iron ore demand growth, despite recent signs for a slow growth in Chinese economy. China is "resilient," Walsh said, as it is equipped to underline its growth with fiscal and monetary changes and has increasing rates of household and corporate savings.
The country's crude steel consumption is forecasted to be around 1 billion metric tons by 2020, representing just under half of forecast world consumption, he noted. Rio Tinto is planning to invest $2 billion in Indian iron ore mining in Keonjhar district in the Indian federal state of Orissa. Mr. Walsh said that his company intends to raise production in Orissa to 15m tonnes per year “quickly” and at least some of the ore would be sold overseas, enabling shipowners to benefit from increased export demand.
The first quarter of 2012 is near to end and the trends seem to be negative for capesize with a sense of stability in the panamax and a firm growth of earnings in the supramax and handysize segment. The BDI is 18% lower than the 1,000 points mark and the solid performance of supramax vessels may boost the index at higher levels before the end of March.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 21 July 12
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was soft this week as all the segments were down.
The BDI was down by 6.58 pct closing at 1,037 points and the ...
Saturday, 21 July 12
INDONESIAN COMPANIES ABM INVESTAMA AND AVRA ASIA WORK OUT LONG-TERM CONTRACT - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe, one of the leading English news papaer in Indonesia reported that, ABM Investama, a company with diversified interests in coal mi ...
Friday, 20 July 12
INDONESIA-INDIA SUPRAS BEING FIXED AT $ 10K
Handy
After a stable last week, the Handysize market has experienced softening rates in the Atlantic. Ships are ballasting from India into the Atla ...
Friday, 20 July 12
HANDYSIZES PROVE RATHER ATTRACTIVE AMONG OTHER SHIPS, IN TERMS OF FUTURE RETURNS ON INVESTMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Handysize segment of the dry bulk market appears to offer the best incentive among other ship types, for a ship owners to invest in, says Interm ...
Wednesday, 18 July 12
TAIWAN POWER COMPANY TO IMPORT 0.588 MILLION TONS OF LOW ASH AND EXTRA LOW SULFUR SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com - Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 588,000 MT tons of extra low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal power plant thro ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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