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Monday, 12 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The first days of March appear to be more encouraging for dry bulk operators, but the outlook is still gloomy for the rest of year with earnings for large sized vessels, capesizes floating below breakeven levels. The Baltic Dry Index records daily gains for eleven consecutive days, closing on Friday March 9th at 824 points, up by 6.8% on a weekly basis and up by 17% from February 23rd. All vessel categories experienced positive upturn apart from capesizes with supramaxes being the star performers of this week. The Baltic Supramax Index posted a 16% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 5% rise in the panamax and 7% in the handysize segment. Capesize vessel earnings remain downsized with industry players expecting a stronger Chinese steel production in March -April period and massive destocking of iron ore at major ports that will create more cargo loadings and lift earnings, at least near to $10,000/day.
The sentiment in China’s daily steel output has improved in February at 1,93 million tones, up from 1.83 million tons in January and 1.6827 million tons in December, as mills began ramping up operations ahead of a predicted recovery in demand in March and April. The figures of February are considerably higher than the estimates issued by China Iron and Steel Association, which calculated daily crude steel output at less than 1,7 million tones in February. Traders have said that recent destocking activity indicates further improvements in the market over the coming weeks. We may not see an immediate and rapid rise in steel output, but destocking is going on increasingly, so I am optimistic about steel prices because supply hasn't grown much”, said a trader based in Beijing. "Some new construction sites in northern Chinese regions have not started due to the cold snap, but once these new projects begin, it will provide a big lift for steel demand," he said, adding that he expected prices to keep rising until the end of April. China's industry ministry said China's crude steel output was expected to rise 7 percent to 730 million tons this year, after growing 8.9% last year. However, some steel mills have predicted that real demand could remain flat in 2012, and they warn of further losses over the course of the year as they try to overcome longstanding overcapacity issues.
Capesizes, which typically transport 150,000 ton cargoes of iron ore and coal, are currently earning $5,786/day, less than handysizes that earn more than $6,000 daily with the BCI loosing 22 points, down by 1.4% on a weekly basis and standing at 1503 points. Vale has completed its first VLOC transshipment of iron ore, which could drive more capesize tonnage requirements but the impact will be minor given the glut of ships. The long list of available ships for prompt employment continues to weigh heavily on the market with ships struggling to find cargo, especially in the Atlantic market. After a couple of weeks at $7.90, Rio Tinto shaved 10 cents off the rate for a March 21 onwards 160,000-tonne cargo from Dampier to China.
Panamax and supramax units continue to show stronger performance against capesize on the back of a firmer amount of global grain and coal fixtures activity. However, there are always exogenous threats on the prosperity with Indonesian National Shipowners Association, following China’s example, urging the government to pass the Domestic Transporter Obligation, which could mandate that 30% of all Indonesian coal shipments to be shipped on vessels owned by Indonesian shipping companies. According to Indonesian National Shipowners Association, foreign shipowners earned $14.4 billion in 2011 from exporting Indonesian coal with Indonesian shipowners wishing to receive a large share of this earned capital.
Panamaxes are currently earning $7,129/day with the BPI moving 45 points upward, 5.3% up on a weekly basis. The focus remains on east coast South America, with increased grain cargoes particularly for first half April sparking a rise in rates. A 1996-built 73,000 tonner agreed $15,750 daily plus a $575,000 bonus for the run east. Ships from the Continent and Mediterranean, as well as the Indian Ocean and south East Asia, eyed the South American market.
In the supramax market, vessels, which carry about 25 percent less than panamaxes, are the star performers during the first days of March by earning about $9,000/day with the BSI standing at 864 points, up by 16% on a weekly basis. However, supramaxes were getting more than $15,000/day last year, up by 77% from the current levels and 45% higher levels than capesizes. Rates in the Atlantic finally improved after the Far Eastern markets had been leading the way for quite some time. In the East, the south-east Asia mineral trades continued to absorb plenty of tonnage and the market consequently maintained a firming trend.
Handysize vessels, for three consecutive weeks have shown firmer returns with the BHSI standing at 469 points, a 7% week-on-week increase, and earnings rising to $7,106/day, but still 35% lower than last year’s levels.
The glut of new ship deliveries and the weak sentiment in China’s steel market are serious factors with a negative impact on the healthy performance of the capesize segment, which is the main driver lying behind the positive incline of the Baltic Dry Index, above the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark.
China’s announcement to lower its 2012 growth target to 7.5% after 7 consecutive years darkens the outlook of dry bulk shipping industry with insiders expecting a prolong of the shipping crisis. Moody’s Investor Service said that the global shipping slump is expected to stay till 2013, while growing credit squeeze will challenge even the toughest shipping companies. Rio Tinto PLC's (RIO) iron ore chief executive, Sam Walsh, said that he expects China to remain a key driver of iron ore demand growth, despite recent signs for a slow growth in Chinese economy. China is "resilient," Walsh said, as it is equipped to underline its growth with fiscal and monetary changes and has increasing rates of household and corporate savings.
The country's crude steel consumption is forecasted to be around 1 billion metric tons by 2020, representing just under half of forecast world consumption, he noted. Rio Tinto is planning to invest $2 billion in Indian iron ore mining in Keonjhar district in the Indian federal state of Orissa. Mr. Walsh said that his company intends to raise production in Orissa to 15m tonnes per year “quickly” and at least some of the ore would be sold overseas, enabling shipowners to benefit from increased export demand.
The first quarter of 2012 is near to end and the trends seem to be negative for capesize with a sense of stability in the panamax and a firm growth of earnings in the supramax and handysize segment. The BDI is 18% lower than the 1,000 points mark and the solid performance of supramax vessels may boost the index at higher levels before the end of March.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 28 July 12
CAL 2013 COAL SWAPS ARE HIGHER COMPARED TO SEPT 2012 PRICES
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 0.47 percent on Friday (27 July 2012) closing DoD but lost 0.90 ...
Friday, 27 July 12
PACIFIC MARKET REMAINED FLAT - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market continued its downward trend from last week with what appears to be a summer lull across the board. A trip from the USG t ...
Wednesday, 25 July 12
BUKIT ASAMS H1 REVENUE JUMPED BY 13 PERCENT
COALspot.com - PT Bukit Asam (Persero), Tbk., the state owned coal miner's revenue in H1 2012, has jumped 13 percent to IDR 5.79 trillion (approxim ...
Wednesday, 25 July 12
BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS SECURED PINJAM PAKAI FOR ITS ZINC AND LEAD PROJECT
COALspot.com - PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk. ("BRMS" or "the Company") today reported that its 80% owned subsidiary, PT Dairi ...
Tuesday, 24 July 12
SHIP OWNERS WAITING FOR SHIP PRICES TO FALL FURTHER BEFORE MOVING IN MORE AGGRESSIVELY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the summer season already well under way and many ship owners getting ready for the autumn, the sale & purchasing activity of second hand v ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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