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Monday, 05 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
An air of optimism poured in the market this week for dry bulk shippers with the Baltic Dry Index recording daily gains during the end of February by rising for the seventh straight day and closing at 771 points, up by 53 points or 7.38% from last Friday’s closing. All the indexes reflecting daily freight market rates for capesize, panamax, supramax and handysize dry bulk vessels closed in green with smaller sized vessels, supramax and handysize, showing the largest week-on-week increase, 12.54% and 10.63% respectively in contrast with a 1.40% and 0.96% rise for capesize and panamax vessels respectively. There are increasing doubts if this recent euphoria will stay since there are many newbuildings on stream and panamax ship operators are already experiencing severe pains from continuous deliveries with gloomy predictions for China’s economic growth, the main demand driver for raw materials’ transportation.
For large sized vessels, capesizes, which typically transport 150,000 ton cargoes of iron ore and coal, the market remains largely flat with the BCI gaining 21 points on a weekly basis, up by 1.4% standing at 1525 points, whereas average daily earnings are floating at levels below those for handysize units, less than $6,000/day. The over abundance of ships and the limited inquiry in the Atlantic market persist to distress capesize operators’ financial performance with earnings below breakeven levels. Spot and period chartering activity is piecemeal with a vessel of 150,000 tons rumored to have been fixed for an east coast Australian round at $7,000/day. In the period market, a 169,000 tons vessel is said to have booked from China for 4 to 7 months at $12,300/daily.
The capesize segment is still very fragile as Chinese have not fully regained their iron ore buying appetite with hefty iron ore inventories. Chinese steel production has found a small amount of support but remains relative low. The China Iron & Steel Association reported that daily crude steel production averaged approximately 1,71 million tons from February 1 to February 10. This is an increase of 2% from the 1,67mt average daily steel production occurred during January 21 to January 31, but down significantly from last year’s record 2,02mt average daily production during June 21 to June 30. Spot iron ore prices are on rise, near to $140/tonne, on a rebound of Chinese demand ahead of construction projects restarts in March. Estimations for a decline in Chinese iron ore imports for 2012 would be a highly negative development for capesize earnings. According to China Mining Association, China may import as much as 14% less of the steelmaking raw material this year as domestic production increases. Imports may be between 590 million metric tons and 650 million tons this year, while last year’s imports were 686 million tons, according to Bloomberg calculations based on General Customs data.
The panamax market appears to be in a better condition as China’s coal demand appears more supportive and average daily earnings are above $6,500, when last year vessels were earning more than doubled. Panamax operators are also facing serious issues from vessel oversupply and strong South American grain demand adds a beneficiary key factor for the healthy performance of earnings. There was said to be a healthy list of cargoes, but rates have hardly moved as charterers could pick from ships coming from the Continent, Mediterranean, the Indian Ocean and Southeast Asia. The BPI gained only 8 points from last week’s closing, up by 0.96% and standing at 844 points.
China’s thermal coal market has shown weakness amid expectations for an upward movement in March that drags vessels earnings below $10,000/day. With coal stocks remaining high at both Chinese power plants and coal ports, a Beijing-based trader said the Chinese coal market is likely to remain slack for the next couple of weeks. Coal stocks at China's key power plants totaled 74.45 million mt on February 20, able to last for about 20 days of burning, according to figures from the National Development and Reform Commission. However, the recent drops in coal stocks at coastal ports, together with the month-long overhaul of the Datong-Qinhuangdao railroad rumored to be starting in mid-March, may end the weakness in China's coal market, market sources said. Fangcheng Port in southern China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region is reported to be holding slightly over 6 million mt of coal and incoming coal vessels have to wait for about a week before they can be unloaded. "Not only Fangcheng Port, other major coal ports also see their stockyards packed," a Shandong-based trader said.
Supramax vessels, which carry about 25 percent less than panamaxes, showed the strongest performance this week with the BSI gaining 83 points, up by 12.5% from last week’s closing and standing at 745 points. Average daily earnings are above $7,700, but 50% lower than last year with the Atlantic market still being distressed. In the Pacific, the south-east Asia mineral trades, including a significant amount of nickel ore business, has been driving the recent improvement. A vessel of 55,000dwt built 2005 is said to have been fixed for a trip via Indonesia to India at $14,500 daily.
In addition, handysize units gained for a second consecutive week a sharp increase of 10.6% with the BHSI standing at 437and earnings rising to $6,630/day, almost 37% lower than previous year when they were earning $10,481/day.
The weak performance of capesize segment troubles the dry bulk industry with the BDI crawling to move at levels of one year ago and break the barrier of 1,000 points. China, the world’s second largest economy and the largest importer of iron ore and coal, has shown signs of negative economic growth with the World Bank estimating that China’s GDP annual growth will decline to 5.9% by 2021 after three decades of 10% average annual growth. The critical issue is if China would be the massive buying power for dry bulk materials, in the forthcoming years, to support and absorb the ample tonnage of ships in the market. A negative catalyst factor is China’s target to achieve iron ore self efficiency. According to the China Iron & Steel Association, China is aiming to improve its self efficiency in iron ore and continue to consolidate the steel industry in a bid to raise the output of its major steel makers by 10% within the next four years. The government expects the country’s top 10 steel manufacturers to account for 60% of the country’s steel output by 2015, Wang Xiaoqi, CISA vice chairman, said at a trade conference held in Beijing.
However, players haven’t lost their shipping confidence with mounting hopes for a firmer return of the market after the end of the first quarter of the year as Chinese steel mills are restocking on iron ore and they slowly increase steel output during the seasonally busy periods of March and April for the construction and manufacturing sectors.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 27 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET KEEP RISING FOLLOWING THE SAME TREND OF LAST WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept its upward momentum this week, on the same reasons of those last week. That is, the smaller ship types are still on the ris ...
Monday, 26 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Baltic Dry Index follows its upward incline for fourth consecutive week by rising to more than 900 points, up by 37% from the bottom low in the ...
Monday, 26 March 12
GOLDEN MINES FY11 REVENUE JUMPS 209% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk (GEMS), that is controlled by Sinar Mas Group, recorded a 209% jump in revenue ...
Saturday, 24 March 12
AUSTRALIA'S MINERAL TAX : BENCHMARK FOR OTHER COUNTRIES - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Natural resources rich counties like Australia , Indonesia , South Africa , Brazil etc are going through a spectacular resources boom ...
Saturday, 24 March 12
THE AVERAGE CHARTER RATES WAS AT CAPESIZE $ 4,546 PER DAY VS SUPRAMAX / $ 10,819 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI crossed 900 points this week closing at 908 points up by 3.89 pct. All other sectors were up except for cape index whic ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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