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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 22 February 12
RAW COMMODITY EXPORT BAN SPARKS SMELTER BUILDING BOOM IN INDONESIA ANTARA / THE JAKARTA GLOBE
Antara / The Jakarta Globe reported that, as the government gears up to ban all exports of unprocessed commodities, Indonesia will see 12 new ...
Tuesday, 21 February 12
THREAT ISSUED ON MINERAL FIRMS AS GOVT PLANS EXPORT BAN - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post, one of the leading english news papaer in Indonesia reported that, the government has given mineral producers three months to subm ...
Monday, 20 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU
The dry market experienced one more disappointing week with tonnage oversupply and limited cargo demand that pushes earnings for shipping players to ...
Monday, 20 February 12
JATENERGY SECURES FIRST 8000-TONNE COAL SALES CONTRACT FOR JONGKANG MINES
8000-tonne contract with Singaporean buyer signed for March delivery
50% down payment due in five working days
Production continues at both Jongka ...
Monday, 20 February 12
DIAN SWASTATIKA ACQUIRES ANDALAN LESTARI - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA), controlled by Fuganto Widjaja, son of Indra Widjaja, reported a 99.83% takeove ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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