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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 27 February 12
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS TO CHINA DROPS 39.76 PERCENT IN JANUARY 2012
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest coal exporter, shipped 28.21* mln mt of coal in January 2012, slightly lower than its December 2011 ...
Monday, 27 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The pessimism in the dry market persists with the Baltic Dry Index still trying to find a steady pace of growth and average time charter earnings fo ...
Sunday, 26 February 12
THE FREIGHT RATES FOR INDONESIA TO INDIA IS LIKELY TO BE FIRM FOR NEXT 2/3 WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com – “There was not much change in the BDI and other indices this week except for the Panamax which was down by 11.91 pc ...
Friday, 24 February 12
DRY BULK MARKET POSTS FIRST REBOUND IN A WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As was expected since mid-week, the dry bulk market's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has managed to put a stop in a 6-day losing rally, endi ...
Thursday, 23 February 12
2.5 PANAMAX VESSELS PER AVAILABLE CARGO FOR MARCH DATES - FEARN BULK
Handy
Another depressing week for Supras in both basins. Lack of fresh business and over-supply of tonnage in the Atlantic pushed rates south. Cont ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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