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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 23 December 21
COAL DEMAND TO PEAK IN INDIA BY 2030, WILL BACK UP RENEWABLES: NITI REPORT - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal will remain India’s mainstay energy source and the country will shape global demand this decade, two reports have said a month after the ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL OUTPUT SEEN BETWEEN 637 MLN-664 MLN T- OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia’s 2022 coal output is estimated at between 637 million to 664 million tonnes based on production plans currently being finalised, s ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
VALE ANNOUNCES THE SALE OF ITS COAL ASSETS
Vale informs that, on this date, it has entered into a binding agreement with Vulcan to sell the Moatize coal mine and the Nacala Logistics Corrido ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDIA: CAPTIVE POWER PRODUCERS URGE GOVT TO ENSURE NORMAL COAL SUPPLIES - PTI
A captive power producers’ association has urged the government for 100 per cent normalisation of coal supply to captive power producers whil ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As an outstanding year for the dry bulk freight market comes to a close, so does a thriving year for the SnP market which can only be compared to 2 ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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