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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
CHINESE COAL JUMPS OVER 6% ON PRE-HOLIDAY SUPPLY WORRY - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures soared more than 6% on Wednesday, hitting a level last seen in late November as investors grew concerned over ti ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
VIETNAM: COAL SECTOR SEES POSITIVE PROSPECT IN 2022 - VNA
With many signs of rising demand for coal in various economic sectors in 2022, the Vietnam National Coal – Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomi ...
Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels ...
Sunday, 09 January 22
INDONESIA MINISTER SAYS 'EMERGENCY OVER' ON COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH - REUTERS
Indonesia’s power emergency which has triggered a coal export ban is over but the government will still continue to discuss policies in this ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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