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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 07 March 14
INDONESIA TO PRODUCE 421 MMT OF COAL IN 2014
Coalspot.com: Indonesia finally agreed to increased 2014 coal output by as much as 6 percent to 421 million metric tons from its previous plan, a se ...
Friday, 07 March 14
US PRODUCED 19.4 MMST OF COAL IN PAST 7 DAYS, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.4 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 06 March 14
PANAMAX MARKET IS STRUGGLING IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Handy/Supra market experienced a rate increase in the Pacific. The activity itself is not too big, but spot tonnage is clearing up and ow ...
Wednesday, 05 March 14
THE BIG BULKERS HAVE IN FACT WITNESSED SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS IN BOTH BASINS
The BDI continues to gain back some of the lost ground, although in reality there isn't a lot to celebrate abou ...
Wednesday, 05 March 14
LEAVE IT TO CAPES TO CHANGE THE DIRECTION OF THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Stable+)
Leave it to Capes to change the direction of the Dry Bulk market. The big bulkers managed to drag the BDI ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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