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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 04 July 14
US: WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY UP W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.4 million short tons (mmst) of coa ...
Friday, 04 July 14
PARAM MITRA COAL RESOURCES SECURES US$ 7.5M INVESTMENT FROM TEMBUSU PARTNERS
Param Mitra Coal Resources Pte Ltd (“PMCR”), which owns two operating coal mines in Indonesia, has secured from Singapore private equit ...
Thursday, 03 July 14
BUMI TRANSFERS 19% OF KPC STAKE VALUED AT US$ 950 MILLION TO CIC
COALspot.com: PT. Bumi Resources announces that 19% of its holdings in Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC), valued at US$ 950 million, has been transferred to ...
Thursday, 03 July 14
PANAMAX : IN THE ATLANTIC, OWNERS ARE WILLING TO FIX AT ABOUT $2.5K PER DAY - FEARNEYS
Handy
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearneys noted that, this week seems to have been more of a wait and see game between owners and ch ...
Wednesday, 02 July 14
NEWMONT FILES FOR INTERNATIONAL ARBITRATION ON ORE EXPORT BAN - THE JAKARTA POST
PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara (NNT), a subsidiary of United States-based Newmont Corporation, has filed for international arbitration against the govern ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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