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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 07 July 14
RBCT, THE WORLD'S SINGLE LARGEST EXPORT COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 31.91 MMT OF COAL IN H1 2014
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the world’s single largest export coal terminal, shipped 31.91 million ton ...
Monday, 07 July 14
SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 12% LESS COAL IN JUNE COMPARED TO MAY EXPORTS
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the world’s single largest export coal terminal, shipped 4.91 million tons ...
Monday, 07 July 14
INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL SWAPS FOR Q3 DELIVERY CRASHES THROUGH $ 54.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 07 July 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SHOW A DOWNWARD TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q3 drops US$ 5.47 month on month on Friday, dipping under $68 a ton. The CFR South Ch ...
Sunday, 06 July 14
PANAMAX INDEX BEING THE BIGGEST GAINER THIS WEEK; UP 52.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: This week there was some positive signs in all the sectors. The Panamax index being the biggest gainer this week after losing for sev ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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