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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 08 October 14
OIL COULD FALL TO USD80 BEFORE SHALE SUPPLY RESPONSE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Brent oil could fall as low as USD80 a barrel before triggering a self-correcting supply response with shale-oil drillers cutting inv ...
Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT 525K MT OF LOW ASH AND EXTRA LOW SULFUR SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 525,000 metric tons of low ash and extra low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWS A FLAT TO WEAK TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps November 2014 delivery flat week on week and gained US$ 0.10 (-0.20%) per mt day on day. The swap also lost US$ ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
THE RIO TINTO CONFIRMS THAT NO DISCUSSIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH GLENCORE
COALspot.com: The board of Rio Tinto notes the recent press speculation regarding a possible combination of Rio Tinto and Glencore.The Rio Tinto bo ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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