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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 13 October 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 54.92, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2014 decreased US$ 0.80 (-1.46%) month over month and US$ 0.52 (-0.95%) week over ...
Monday, 13 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS FOR DELIVERY Q4' 2014 GAINED WEEK ON WEEK AND DAY ON DAY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 gained week on week and day on day.
The swap lost US$ 0.13 (-0.25%) month on mon ...
Monday, 13 October 14
Q1' 2015 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 0.31 PMT HIGHER THAN Q4' 2014 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 0.66 (-1.00%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (-0.61%) ...
Sunday, 12 October 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened. The BDI down 7.13 pct week on week and closed below 1000 points at 963 points.
The Cape ind ...
Saturday, 11 October 14
COAL PRODUCTION RISES ONLY SLIGHTLY AS GOVT LIMITS MINING OPERATIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesian coal production rose by only 4 percent in the first nine months of this year, a relatively low increase compared to previous years, as t ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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