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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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