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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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