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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET FIRMS THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
Firmer sentiment across both basins pushed the Capesize 5TC route average above the $20,000 threshold this week, closing at $24,209. A ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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