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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 10 August 22
THE FUTURE OF COAL: EIGHT KEY THEMES FROM THE GLOBAL COAL FORUM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal investors face a multi-layered and unavoidable challenge: markets distorted by war, trade constraints and the existential threat of the energy ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
SUMITOMO Q1 PROFIT RISES 45% ON STRONGER PRICES OF COAL, NICKEL - REUTERS
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Saturday, 06 August 22
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Saturday, 30 July 22
NUANCES OF FORCE MAJEURE CLAUSE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Knowledge to Elevate
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Saturday, 30 July 22
AEMO URGES QUICKER SHIFT TO RENEWABLES AMID COAL FAILURES AND SOARING FOSSIL FUEL COSTS
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Minerals Council of Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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