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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 17 August 22
CHINA'S COAL-RICH SHANXI MAKES STRIDES IN HIGH-QUALITY DEVELOPMENT - XINHUA
Shanxi, a major coal-producing province in north China, has made continuous advances in high-quality development over the past decade, according to ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
PAXOCEAN, HONG LAM MARINE AND BUREAU VERITAS SIGN MOU TO DEVELOP AMMONIA BUNKER VESSEL DESIGN - BUREAU VERITAS
PaxOcean Engineering Pte. Ltd. has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Singapore-based bunker vessel operator Hong Lam Marine and class ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
GOODFUELSS ASIA-PACIFIC BRANCH KICKSTARTS SUSTAINABLE BIOFUEL DELIVERIES WITH NYK AS FIRST CLIENT - GOOD FUELS
GoodFuels, the leading biofuels pioneer for the global transport industry, has today announced that it has successfully supplied sustainable marine ...
Tuesday, 16 August 22
EU BAN ON RUSSIAN COAL IMPORTS COMES INTO FORCE - DEUTSCHE WELLE
The European Union banned Russian coal imports in response to the invasion of Ukraine as part of sanctions in April. Since then, it’s been sc ...
Thursday, 11 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On July 22nd, Ukraine signed a deal with Russia to release 22mn tons of grain from Ukraine’s 3 major ports (Yuzhny, Chornomorsk, Odesa). Such ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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