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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 07 March 16
INDONESIAN 5700 GAR COAL INDEX DECLINE $0.05 A TON WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $38.66 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 07 March 16
FREIGHT MARKET MOVING POSITIVE; ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT CAPE SHOWING A FIRM TREND
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this past week and showing a firm trend for all segments except for Cape index.
The Baltic Dry Ind ...
Friday, 04 March 16
GLOBAL ECONOMY'S JITTERS ARE SLOWING DOWN SHIPPING EVEN FURTHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The global economy’s shaky condition to say the least is now hampering growth and as a result demand for shipping is slowing down, something ...
Friday, 04 March 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 109.3 MMST; 30.2% LOWER THAN THE COMPARABLE YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION IN 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.1 million shor ...
Thursday, 03 March 16
INDIA'S BUDGET NOT ENOUGH TO BOOST STEELMAKERS' PROFITABILITY - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that increase in proposed infrastructure spending in India's latest government budget is unlikely to provide a ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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