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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 10 March 16
IT FEELS SAFE TO SAY THAT THE MARKET IS SLOWLY AND PAINFULLY REGAINING ITS BALANCE
With the BDI marking its third consecutive positive weekly closing, it feels safe to say that the market is regaining its balance; slowly and painf ...
Wednesday, 09 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 24% (74 MMST) IN 2015; COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 111 MMST IN 2016 - EIA
U.S. Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the prev ...
Wednesday, 09 March 16
RI MAY HAVE TO IMPORT COAL FOR FUTURE POWER PLANTS: STUDY - THE JAKARTA POST
With coal prices continuing to decline, Indonesia will struggle to provide the coal needed to fire up its power stations in the near future, a stud ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
INDONESIA HIKES COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 12 MONTHS
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016, but up slightly in Mar ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
THE DRY CARGO MARKET ENDURED ONE OF ITS MOST DIFFICULT YEARS IN 2015, EXPERIENCING LOWS NOT SEEN SINCE THE MID 1980S - CLARKSONS
Whilst shipping and offshore markets have seen some good opportunities during 2015, overall there have been unprecedented challenges, so we are ver ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
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