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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 25 May 16
DRY BULK SNP MARKET DISPLAYS SIGNS OF STRENGTH - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Only a couple of weeks away from the world’s most prominent maritime event, the market for tankers displays an evident lack of confidence in ...
Tuesday, 24 May 16
WEEKLY CS COAL INDICES NEGATIVE FOR ALL TYPES OF COAL EXCEPT 3800 GAR COAL
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was down 0.10 percent week over week to averaging $38.90 per ton this past week, sho ...
Monday, 23 May 16
A PERFECT STORM FOR INDONESIAN STEAM COAL EXPORTS - CLARKSON RESEARCH
Indonesia is the world’s leading steam coal exporter, accounting for over 40% of global seaborne steam coal exports since 2010. However in 20 ...
Monday, 23 May 16
THE PANAMAX INDEX WAS UP 17 POINTS W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this week.
The freight market was firm and all ...
Friday, 20 May 16
SHIPBUILDING CONTRACTS: CAN I CANCEL? SHOULD I CANCEL? - THE SHIPOWNER CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are many circumstances in which a buyer of a new-build vessel might want to terminate or cancel their contract with ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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