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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 01 June 16
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IN APRIL 2016 DECLINED 15% Y/Y; COAL INDIA INCREASED COAL PRICES BY 6.2%
Coal India has approved raising weighted average coal prices by 6.2 per cent over the current price for both regulated and non-regulated sectors.
...
Wednesday, 01 June 16
ZERO SUPPLY TO FUEL GROWTH IN THE DRY BULK MARKET SAYS BIMCO PRESIDENT
The dry bulk market could become profitable again in 2019 – but only if a series of extremely tough and sustained measures are taken by shipo ...
Wednesday, 01 June 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
In another page from this year’s oil drama, oil has, after a series of gains, rebounded to ~$50 / barrel and immediately stopped climbing. &n ...
Tuesday, 31 May 16
CS50 INDONESIA COAL INDEX UP 0.28% COMPARED WITH A WEEK AGO
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $39.01 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 30 May 16
BORYEONG POWER PLANT TO IMPORT HALF A MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 500,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal T ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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