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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
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Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
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Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
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DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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