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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,300 kcal/kg NCV coal per ...
Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,177,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 19 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 701,000 MT of min 5,600 kcal/kg NCV coal and ...
Friday, 14 December 18
COAL IMPORT TO BE CHECKED BY RISING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government’s effort to increase domestic coal production and power demand falling with the onset of the winters will check coal imports, ...
Thursday, 13 December 18
STRAITS AFFECTED BY TERRITORIAL DISPUTE BETWEEN SINGAPORE AND MALAYSIA - THE STANDARD CLUB
A recent territorial dispute has occurred between Singapore and Malaysia involving the Straits of Johor.
The Malaysian Attorney Gene ...
Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in t ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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