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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
The global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges which pushed international coa ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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