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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 28 March 20
ASIA'S COAL MARKETS DIVERGE ON QUALITY LINES AS CORONAVIRUS HITS INDIA - REUTERS
Asia’s seaborne coal market is increasingly diverging between higher-quality Australian coal, where prices are holding up despite the economi ...
Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain t ...
Friday, 27 March 20
S.KOREA Q1 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SET FOR 10-YR LOW ON ANTI-POLLUTION MEASURES - REUTERS
South Korea’s first-quarter thermal coal imports are set to fall to a decade-low due to stricter air pollution measures, while the coronaviru ...
Friday, 27 March 20
PORT OF NEWCASTLE OPERATIONS CONTINUE WITH COVID-19 RESPONSE MEASURES IN PLACE
Port of Newcastle, like many organisations, is taking a precautionary approach to help manage COVID-19 risks in the community. Our focus is on ensu ...
Thursday, 26 March 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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