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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 03 April 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Wednesday, 01 April 20
TRADERS SCRAMBLE TO SELL CHEAP CRUDE CARGOES AS GLUT GROWS - REUTERS
Oil traders across the globe are offering cargoes far in advance as rapidly vanishing demand drives key physical crude prices to multi-decade lows, ...
Wednesday, 01 April 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
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Tuesday, 31 March 20
FREIGHT MARKET: DRY BULKERS - SPOT MARKET 23-29 MARCH 2020
Capesize
The rebound in freight rates resumed this past week, with rates man-aging to post further gains by week’s end. The BCI is in negat ...
Tuesday, 31 March 20
DRY BULK: Q1 HAS BEEN THE WORST QUARTER NOTED FOR MORE THAN 3 YEARS NOW - ALLIED RESEARCH
At this point, the Covid-19 pandemic seems to be monopolizing all market (as well as all other) discussions across the world and any market insight ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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