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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 17 April 20
PANDEMIC TO BRING ASIA'S 2020 GROWTH TO HALT FOR 1ST TIME IN 60 YEARS - IMF: REUTERS
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Friday, 17 April 20
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OPEC released its much anticipated April monthly report.
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Friday, 17 April 20
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Friday, 17 April 20
SEABORNE COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE AS DEMAND SOFTENS IN CHINA, INDIA - CLYDE RUSSELL
Worrying signs are emerging for coal exporters to the world’s biggest markets in Asia, as top buyers China and India move to favour domestic ...
Thursday, 16 April 20
THERMAL POWER SECTOR FACES BLEAK SCENARIO POST-COVID SITUATION - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The centre should take a fresh look at coal-energy value chain as the sector tops the chart on loan defaults.
Covid-19 may have serv ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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