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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 26 April 20
STRONGER BUNKER PRICES FAIL TO RALLY FREIGHT MARKET - FIS
VLSFO bunker prices rebounded by $22.50 to $229/mt in the port of Singapore but failed to turn around the spot freight market.
Some ...
Saturday, 25 April 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO. INVITED BIDS FOR 780K - 900K MT OF 5600 NCV COAL FOR JULY TO OCTOBER 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 780,000~900,000 Metric Tons (MT) s ...
Saturday, 25 April 20
SEAFARER MENTAL WELLBEING DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COVID-19 has forced many parts of the world to enforce a lockdown in a bid to flatten the curve in terms of transmissions ...
Friday, 24 April 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 5700 NAR COAL FOR JUNE & JULY LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea’s Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) Has Issued An International Tender For 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) Steam Coal ...
Friday, 24 April 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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