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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 07 May 20
CRUDE OIL TANKER EARNINGS DROP 68% IN NINE DAYS - BIMCO
Crude oil tanker earnings have come down sharply in recent weeks with Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) earnings from the Middle East Gulf to China d ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
UKRAINE PRODUCES 2.5 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN APRIL - UKRINFORM
Ukraine produced 2.5 million tonnes of coal in April 2020, which is 39% less than planned, according to the Coal Miners Union of Ukraine.
  ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
INDIA: GOVT TO DO AWAY WITH MANDATORY WASHING OF COAL FOR THERMAL POWER UNITS - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Centre is planning to do away with the mandatory requirement of washing of coal before it is transported to thermal power stations. The Ministr ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
CIL'S SUPPLY TO POWER SECTOR FALLS IN MARCH AMID SLUMP IN COAL DEMAND - PTI
The supply of coal to the power sector by state-owned CIL registered a decline of eight per cent to 42.30 million tonne in March in the wake of slu ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALL SHARPLY IN MAY 2020 DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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