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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 12 May 20
A GLOBAL ECONOMIC RESTART HAS SLOWLY BEGUN AS COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD GRADUALLY - ALLIED
A global economic restart has slowly begun as countries around the world gradually set their return back to “normality”. Yet by all mea ...
Tuesday, 12 May 20
CAN INDONESIA'S COAL INDUSTRY SURVIVE COVID-19? : IEEFA
Pandemic Lockdown and Slumping Prices Put Extreme Pressure on Coal Miners
Executive Summary
While attention has been focused on th ...
Tuesday, 12 May 20
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION TO CLOCK RECORD 700 MILLION TONNES IN FY21: COAL SECRETARY - PTI
Coal Secretary Anil Jain said FY20 coal production was lower than the target of 660 million tonnes because of flooding of a key coal mine.
&nbs ...
Monday, 11 May 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Monday, 11 May 20
CORONAVIRUS PUTS MORE THAN A THIRD OF SEABORNE COAL SUPPLY AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
The full impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the global economy is yet unclear. However, the demand destruction is already becoming evident, with ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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