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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 31 July 20
BOTSWANA PLANS MORE COAL-FIRED POWER AS AFRICAN SOLAR ACCELERATES - IEEFA
An African economic leader like Botswana should embrace solar to reduce subsidies and tariff hikes
As Sub-Saharan solar ambition has ...
Wednesday, 29 July 20
2019 U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FALLS TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1978 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal production totaled 706 million short tons (MMst), a 7% decrease from the 756 MMst mined in 2018. Last year’s production wa ...
Wednesday, 29 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The dry bulk sector is beginning to recover from reduced SnP activity recorded in the first quarter of 2020. The table below illustrates that appro ...
Tuesday, 28 July 20
DEUTSCHE BANK TO END GLOBAL BUSINESS ACTIVITIES IN COAL MINING BY 2025 - REUTERS
Deutsche Bank, in a revamp of its policies for fossil fuels, said on Monday that it would end business activities worldwide related to coal mining ...
Monday, 27 July 20
IEEFA ENERGY FINANCE CONFERENCE 2020: COAL, LNG, PETROCHEMICAL SECTORS FACE POOR OUTLOOK AND UPHILL BATTLE FOR INVESTORS
Fossil fuel industries were becoming less financially attractive even before the global coronavirus pandemic
Three major fossil fuel ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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