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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power short ...
Wednesday, 13 January 21
COAL TO BE BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR TO INDIA'S $5 TRILLION ECONOMY: AMIT SHAH - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Centre on Monday awarded the letter of allocation to successful bidders of coal mines under the commercial auction held during October-November ...
Monday, 11 January 21
MUTED COAL RECOVERY IN 2021 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Coal demand is expected to rebound in 2021
Medium-term outlook is less favourable although demand declines are expected to be subtle ...
Sunday, 10 January 21
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 880,000 TONS OF COAL FOR MARCH 2021 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOEN), on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO issued an international tender for total 880 ...
Friday, 08 January 21
INDIA COULD COMPETE AGAINST CHINA IN SOLAR MODULE PRODUCTION WITH THE RIGHT GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - IEEFA
The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive
Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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