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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 16 January 21
SEABORNE TRADE IN STEAM COAL DECREASED BY 11.6% FROM 937 MILLION TONNES IN 2019 TO 828 MILLION TONNES IN 2020 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), global hard coal production dec ...
Friday, 15 January 21
OVER US$50 BILLION IN GAS POWER PROJECTS AND LNG IMPORT FACILITIES AT RISK OF CANCELLATION IN BANGLADESH, PAKISTAN AND VIETNAM - IEEFA
Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports
Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh tha ...
Friday, 15 January 21
VIETNAM'S EXTRAORDINARY ROOFTOP SOLAR SUCCESS DEALS ANOTHER BLOW TO THE REMAINING COAL PIPELINE - IEEFA
9.3 gigawatts peak of solar capacity, equal to 6 coal power plants, installed in less than a year
Vietnam’s solar power indust ...
Friday, 15 January 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 14 January 21
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL FOR THREE YEARS SUPPLY
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, issued an International tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal of Australian Origin ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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