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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 07 October 09
WORLD'S LEADING COAL-BASED PP PROJECT TO BEGIN TRIAL PRODUCTION NEXT YEAR IN NW CHINA
Xinhua Net reported that, a coal-based polypropylene (PP) production project in northwest China, believed to be the world's largest one, is to ...
Wednesday, 07 October 09
INDIA SAIL TO IMPORT 10-11 MLN T COAL IN FY10 - EXEC
Reuters reported that, Steel Authority of India Ltd plans to import 10-11 million tonnes of coal in the current year to March, below last year's 13 ...
Wednesday, 07 October 09
DOMESTIC SHIPPING FIRMS READY FOR NEW RULES ON COAL, INDUSTRY GROUP SAYS
The Jakarta Globe reported that, The domestic coal-shipping sector is ready for the introduction of shipping regulations requiring all power station ...
Wednesday, 07 October 09
CHINESE BANK MAY PULL OUT OF SUMATRA COAL RAILWAY
The Jakarta Globe reported that, The Export-Import Bank of China may pull out of a $1.28 billion South Sumatra coal-railway project with state-owned ...
Wednesday, 07 October 09
COAL INDIA LOOKS AT LONG-TERM PRICE CONTRACTS
Economic Times reported that, Coal India is looking at long-term price contracts, of at least three-four year periods, with foreign entities, 54 of ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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