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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 09 October 09
INDIKA IN TALKS TO SELL 4M TONS OF COAL, EYEING BP ASSETS
The Jakarta Post reported that, Energy company PT Indika Energy is in talks with Indian buyers to sell 4 million tons of coal next year, one of its ...
Friday, 09 October 09
BULK-SHIPPING LINES MUST CANCEL 50% OF NEW ORDERS, PLATOU SAYS
Bloomberg reported that, Bulk-shipping lines need to cancel half of the new vessels they have on order to ease a capacity glut and revive freight ra ...
Friday, 09 October 09
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX WOKE UP: DRY BULK MARKET ON THE RISE
Hellenic Shipping News reported that, In what could prove the beginning of a new and sustainable rally for the dry bulk market, the BDI (Baltic Dry ...
Friday, 09 October 09
STRAITS ASIA INDONESIAN MINE COAL LOADER COLLAPSES
* New coal loading facility collapsed due to heavy rain
* Older coal loading facility seem unaffected so far
* UBS may cut valuation if disruption ...
Thursday, 08 October 09
COAL INDIA SAYS IMPORTS COULD JUMP 10 TIMES IN 3 YRS
Reuters reported that, Coal imports by state explorer Coal India Ltd could jump 10 times to 40-45 million tonnes in three years to meet a sharp rise ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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