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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 18 March 10
COAL PILING UP AT EAST COAST PORTS ON RAKE SHORTAGE
Business Line reported that, more than three million tonnes (mt) of imported coal are awaiting evacuation at the east coast ports of Paradip, Visakh ...
Tuesday, 16 March 10
INDONESIA ROUND VOYAGES WERE GETTING BETWEEN HIGH TEENS - BRS
Another strong week for the bulk market and rates in all segments are now back above pre-Chinese New Year levels. Atlantic volumes remain robust, an ...
Tuesday, 16 March 10
MADHUCON GETS MINING LICENSE IN INDONESIA
Business-Standard reported that, PT Madhucon Indonesia, a subsidiary of the Hyderabad-based infrastructure company Madhucon Projects Ltd, has been g ...
Monday, 15 March 10
BOB KAMANDANU ON INDONESIAS PEAK COAL PRODUCTION, ENERGY SECURITY AND EXPORTS TO INDIA
Bob Kamandanu, the chairman of Indonesian Coal Producers Association (APBI), said the country has an estimated 50 to 70 years of coal reserves.
T ...
Monday, 15 March 10
CIL BOARD CLEARS 10 PROPOSALS FOR STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP OR JVS
Economic Times reported that, Towards achieving a global footprint, state-owned Coal India (CIL) is eyeing strategic partnership or joint ventures w ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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