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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 25 March 10
THE INDIAN MARKET IS STILL FIRM - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
A sluggish start to the week in the Atlantic with little fresh busin ...
Tuesday, 23 March 10
NINE COMPANIES WIN 20-YEAR COAL CONTRACTS - TEMPO
Tempo Interactive reported that, State Eletricity Company (Perusahaan Listrik Negara) revealed four joint ventures and one company winning coa ...
Monday, 22 March 10
INDONESIA`S MERUKH WINS US$3 BLN SWISS CONTRACT TO SUPPLY COAL - ANTARA
Antara Reported that, Indonesia's PT Merukh Enterprises said it has secured a 30-year contract to supply coal to Swiss buyer Glencore International ...
Monday, 22 March 10
INDIA TO IMPORT COLOMBIAN COAL FOR FIRST TIME AS DEMAND SURGES - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Adani Enterprises Ltd., India’s biggest coal importer, agreed to buy thermal coal from Colombia for the first t ...
Saturday, 20 March 10
NO MAJOR CHANGES ON SUPRAMAX MARKET FOR NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: “The dry bulk freight market continued to be firm on the Panamax and Supramax and Handy size vessels”, said Capt. Reddy MD ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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