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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 08 April 10
NAPOCOR GETS ONE OFFER AT COAL TENDER - ABS CBN
ABS- CBN News reported that, Philippine power producer National Power Corp. (Napocor) is likely to buy 50,000 tons of steam coal from PT Berau Coal ...
Wednesday, 07 April 10
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION
The dry bulk market has kept a low profile during the past week, as evidenced by the small changes of a usually rather turbulent Baltic Dry Index (B ...
Tuesday, 06 April 10
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS RISE 24%, SHIP QUEUE SHORTENS - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Coal shipments from Australia’s Newcastle port, the world’s biggest export harbor for the fuel used in power st ...
Tuesday, 06 April 10
UAE STEEL TRADERS FEAR LOSSES ON GLOBAL HIKE
A sudden spurt in the price of iron ore in the international market has caught local steel traders and manufacturers and a host of other steel-depen ...
Tuesday, 06 April 10
ASIAN INVESTORS EYE NIGERIA MARITIME INDUSTRY
Investors from the Asian region are considering investing in the Nigerian maritime sector, which has huge opportunities and potential. One of such p ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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