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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 10 April 10
VESSELS OPEN N. CHINA WERE SEEN FIXED AT HIGH TEENS FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The BDI indices was almost at same levels was down by only 2.6 pct.
The cape index was down by almost 13 pct, which appears to be s ...
Saturday, 10 April 10
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT GROWS BY ALMOST 100% IN ITS SECOND YEAR OF OPERATIONS
COALspot.com ( Press Release): It has been a year of setting numerous records for Krishnapatnam Port. Krishnapatnam Port is only in its second year ...
Saturday, 10 April 10
TRANS-ASIA SEEKS SEMIRARA, INDO SUPPLIERS FOR COAL POWER PLANT - MANILA STANDARD TODAY
Manila Standard Today reported that, Trans-Asia Oil & Energy Development Corp., a unit of the Phinma Group, will tap Semirara Mining Corp. ...
Thursday, 08 April 10
THE FAR EAST SHIPPING MARKET FIRMING SINCE THE LAST WEEK
Handy
Little fresh interest early this week after the holidays. The BSI saw yest ...
Thursday, 08 April 10
INDONESIAN ENERGY MINISTRY SEEKS LONGER MINING CONTRACTS - THE JAKARTAGLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Energy Minister Darwin Zahedy Saleh said he would seek to amend the mining law to address investors’ complain ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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