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Tuesday, 29 March 11
JAPAN FACTOR RIPPLING THROUGH THE SHIPPING MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the world watching the latest developments regarding the nuclear crisis in Japan and the devastating effects of the recent tragedy that struck the country in the local economy, the shipping sector has also been greatly affected. Every day that goes by things become even more clearer as to the repercussions the Japan crisis will bring to the shipping industry.
Last week ended with Capesize rates averaging $ 10,718/day, an increase of $1,349 (14.4%) from a week ago. Panamax rates are averaging $16,693/day, a decrease of $ 28 (0.76%). Supramax rates are averaging $16,762/day, an increase of $304(1.84%). Handysize rates are averaging $11,704/day, an increase of $393(3.47%). The BDI remained unchanged on Monday to 1,585 points, which is still up by 3.5% on a weekly basis, but 50% down from the same week of the previous year.
In an analysis issued yesterday, shipbroker Golden Destiny said that as a result of the tsunami, many Japanese ports have been closed, causing disruptions in the cargo supply chain. Meantime, the earthquake in the north east Japan is expected to influence the volume of steel production. Reports of five closures at five steel mills in Chiba, Heihin, Muroran and Kimitsu will likely reduce ore imports. Some forecasts are suggesting that ore demand could decline by as much as 20-25m tones and 10 million tones of coking coal demand. On the other hand, it may spur steel exports from neighboring countries, China and South Korea, once the earthquake reconstructions start up.
“Furthermore, speculations surround the market that Japan could increase its thermal coal imports due to disruptions to Japan’s nuclear plants. Roughly 20% to 25% of Japan’s electricity is normally derived from thermal coal. Last news suggests that ten of Japan’s nuclear reactors and at least five thermal coal power stations are offline expected to resume operation in two weeks. Approximately there are 55 nuclear reactors in Japan and roughly a third of Japan’s electricity is normally derived from nuclear power. Currently, there is no any time frame for when Japan’s nuclear reactors will come back online. The Fukushima Daichi nuclear power plants that will be closed for an indefinite period of time, is Japan’s fourth largest nuclear power plant and has an installed capacity of approximately 4,100 megawatts.
Furthermore, weather has turned colder in central and northern Japan and has put a greater strain on electricity supply. The shutdown brings memories of July 2007, when seven reactors in the northwest Japan were closed due to an earthquake and remained shutdown till 2009. Japanese thermal coal demand increased moderately during that time and is likely to increase again in the upcoming months” said the Piraeus-based broker.
The tsunami has also wiped out the majority of coal stockpiles at coal fired power plants. Japan is the second largest coal importer in the world after China, importing an average of over 15 million tons of coal per month in 2010, which could drive increased demand for coal as the plants are restocked ( a potential positive for the boost of the dry panamax market). While ports remain closed and the current impact on dry bulk commodities’ demand is negative, it is expected that once ports reopen and the country begin its restructuring will result in increased chartering activity, since Japan is the world’s second largest customer for dry bulk commodities after China. The increase in demand for thermal coal will be positive influence for large size vessels (panamaxes and capesizes), while demand for steel and forest products will stimulate the handy and supramax market.
Meanwhile the US Grains Council reported significant damage to large numbers of agricultural facilities and production areas suggesting that the country may need to increase corn and wheat imports. Japan is currently the largest buyer of US corn and the second largest purchaser of US wheat and rice. Apart from imports, the closure of steel mills may also impact the shipbuilding industry as South Korean shipbuilders import around 25% of their steel plates they used for ship construction from Japanese steelmakers, such as Sumitomo Metal Industries. Industry sources estimate that South Korea’s top three shipbuilders, Hyundai, Samsung Heavy and Daewoo consume up to 600,000 tons of Japanese steel plates annually. “So far there has been a little impact from the quake in Japan, an official at Samsung Heavy Industries said. Japanese suppliers are shipping steel plates to us as usual and we have some stockpiles of steel plates as well.” However, shipbuilder’s earnings may deteriorate down the road due to potential tighter product supply and higher steel prices” said the report.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 17 April 11
THE FREIGHT MARKET APPEARS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - "The freight market continued to soften further with all segments down except for the handy size which was marginally up by 10 p ...
Sunday, 17 April 11
ADARO TO PROPOSE US$75 MILLION DIVIDEND
COALspot.com - One of Indonesia's largest coal miner PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO) is keen to propose a final dividend of US$75 million or Rp 20.17 (U ...
Saturday, 16 April 11
TNPL RECEIVES 1.6MT OF COAL OFFERS - SOURCES
COALspot.com - Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Ltd. has closed its 160,000 MT coal inquiry today.
More than a half a dozen of Indian coal t ...
Friday, 15 April 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON FALLING, ON LOW DEMAND AND HIGH SUPPLY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept its falling patern this week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) retreating again yesterda ...
Thursday, 14 April 11
SUPRAS IN N.CHINA GET CLOSE TO $12000 FOR TRIPS VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - FEARNBULK
Handy
The Atlantic market remains flat - very little new/fresh business and slow activity. Considerable prompt tonnage remains unfixed. The USG pa ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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