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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Thursday, 07 July 22
COAL INDIA'S PRODUCTION SETS RECORD INCREASE OF 29% YOY AT 36 MT IN Q1FY23 - IIFL SECURITIES
Coal India Limited (CIL) has ended April-June quarter FY’23 capping a historic high of 29% yoy output growth, compared to same quarter FY&rsq ...
Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the ship ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
WHY ARE VLSFO PRICES SO HIGH, ESPECIALLY IN SINGAPORE? - STEVE CHRISTY, INTEGR8 FUELS
Tightness in products still trumps talks of recession
Last month we wrote about the fears of recession versus the tightness in product markets ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
ADANI ENTERPRISES LOWEST BIDDER IN COAL INDIA'S IMPORT TENDER: REPORT - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India Ltd floated its first import tender on behalf of power companies, where Adani Enterprises Ltd came out to be the lowest bidder, a report ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
CHINA POLICY KEY FOR IRON ORE OUTLOOK - ING
China’s covid lockdowns and recessionary risks hit iron ore
Iron ore prices have fallen significantly from their year-to-date high of US$ ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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