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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Tuesday, 04 October 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SURGE AGAIN TO RECORD HIGH
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference reached another record high in October as Russia's war in Ukraine continues to spark a surge in c ...
Sunday, 02 October 22
MISC STRENGTHENS ITS PARTNERSHIP WITH SEARIVER MARITIME
MISC Berhad (MISC) today announced that its subsidiaries Polaris LNG Three Pte. Ltd. and Polaris LNG Four Pte. Ltd. have secured long-term time cha ...
Thursday, 29 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
This week, focus turns to the 38th APPEC Conference, where leading professionals from the global oil industry will discuss the future key drivers o ...
Thursday, 29 September 22
HIGH COAL PRICES REMAIN A CONCERN FOR DOMESTIC NON-FERROUS METAL COMPANIES - ICRA
According to ICRA on Monday, the high price of coal will have a negative effect on the profitability of domestic non-ferrous metal companies that m ...
Tuesday, 27 September 22
14% INCREASE IN EUROPEAN COAL DEMAND TO BE SHORT-TERM TREND - WOOD MACKENZIE
European seaborne thermal coal demand is projected to increase 14% or 12 million metric tonnes (Mt) this year to 98 Mt as it grapples with the curr ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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