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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Tuesday, 17 January 23
CHINA'S SHANXI TARGETS 2023 COAL PRODUCTION OF NEARLY 1.37B TONS - XINHUA
China’s coal-rich province of Shanxi has set a coal production target of nearly 1.37 billion metric tons for 2023, according to a government ...
Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia& ...
Tuesday, 17 January 23
INDONESIA IS ACCOUNTING FOR 32.3% OF THE GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2022 - BENCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels, Benchero ...
Tuesday, 10 January 23
INDONESIAN HBA IS SEEING A SPIKE IN JANUARY 2023 INSTEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT FALL IN DECEMBER 2022
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up 8.43% in January 2023.
HBA is seeing a dramatic spike in January 2023 i ...
Sunday, 08 January 23
INDIAN COAL POWER PLANTS SHOULD BE COMPENSATED FOR 2022 FORCED GENERATION – REGULATOR : REUTERS
Indian power plants that rely on imported coal should be fully compensated when forced to supply electricity, the country’s power regulator s ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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