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Friday, 13 January 12
DIFFICULT START OF 2012 FOR DRY BULK MARKET SEEN HARD TO CHANGE IN THE COURSE OF THE YEAR, UNLESS DEMOLITION PICKS UP
The dry bulk market has been on a freefall this week after a rocky start to the new year. Yesterday, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the industry's benchmark plunged by 7.38% to reach just 1,105 points, almost half of where it stood as 2011 ended. These past few sessions have reminded ship owners just how fragile the market remains, as the pace of the fall of freight rates is equivalent of the crisis days of 2008, now 3.5 years ago. Capesizes lost a staggering 9.74 percent just yesterday and more than 20% since the start of 2012, an indicative sign of the lack of demand in the market and a flood of newbuilding deliveries.
In its latest weekly report, shipbrokers Intermodal said that a rebound in freight rates would be hard to be seen in 2012, unless Chinese growth exceeds the pundits expectations or unless another demand driver like China appear in the picture. "India may play this role as its ever increased demand to import coal to feed its power plants could absorb some tonnage and support freight rates especially for the bigger vessels. Already the state owned mining company Coal India plans to open new mines in Indonesia in order to cover future needs. Although it is not possible to find such support from one day to another, India will definitely play its catalytic role as a demand driver and supporter of the dry bulk market for the next couple of years" said Intermodal's Yannis Olziersky.
He went on to mention that "the global economic outlook for 2012 is not looking much healthier than last year and with an increased supply of new vessels hitting the water, shipowners are getting prepared for an even worse market then the one that past. The target for this year should be the same as 2011, weathering the lows.
Demand wise analysts are expecting the volume of cargoes which are transported by dry bulk carriers to show some growth; however same are expecting 2012 to be the weakest growth in demand in at least a decade, especially for shipments of iron ore. This is due to the slowing Chinese growth which is expected to drop to 8.5 percent this year compared with 9.2 percent in 2011. Analyst forecast that China is expected to import 5.8 percent more iron ore this year against the 10 percent in 2011, a quite significant difference which will logically put pressure on freight rates, bearing in mind that the industry is expected to face the biggest fleet growth in recent history. Already the rally in capesize rates which began in August is fading and the BCI has lost 40 percent since its peak in December 12th" said Mr. Olziersky.
On the demolition front, Clarkson Hellas said earlier this week that "2012 has begun very positively with news that Bangladesh is on the verge of re-opening and on the back of a stable currency and improved steel prices domestically, India increasing their price indications and Chinese breakers continuing their aggressive stance from last year. However, on paper everything looks rosy, but an air of caution is still to be adopted as currently, Bangladesh remains closed until the hearing due next Thursday 12th, and Indian rates are on the rise but only because some cash intermediaries appear to be speculating on the re]opening of the Bangladeshi market and as such, the current improved rates seen for tonnage basis delivery India are not being justified on the waterfront at Alang. The concern for most is the tremendous amount of tonnage being proposed to the market since the turn of the year and whether the current firm rates can hold. Many parties believe that when Bangladesh officially re-opens the rates will increase substantially in excess of the USD 500/ldt level, however this is again pure speculation and if the amount of new tonnage witnessed in the market over the last few days is anything to go by, then the conveyor belt of tonnage supply may affect the breakers mentality in the near future even if Bangladesh does re-open next week as predicted" said Clarkson Hellas.
Intermodal also mentioned in its analysis that "during the first three quarters of the year, demolition activity peaked up, with many vessels heading towards the beach, setting a record at a time when the industry needed it. However the last quarter of the year, activity slowed down as prices softened and cash Buyers were reluctant to acquire more tonnage, mainly due to the extreme fluctuation of the Indian Rupee against the USD and the prevailing uncertainty on steel prices. The good news however, is that Bangladesh is finally set to ratify its regulations on the 12th January and get the green light from the Court to import vessels once again; therefore we believe that this will bring stability and safety to the market, hence scraping activity should logically pick up again, which is of course good news for the oversupplied market" concluded the Piraeus-based shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 24 June 24
PHILIPPINES COAL SUPPLY ENOUGH UNTIL 2030 - PHILSTAR GLOBAL
The country’s existing coal-fired power plants are sufficient to ensure enough base load capacity in the next six years, Energy Secretary Rap ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEXTDECADE, SAUDI ARAMCO SIGN 20-YEAR LNG SUPPLY DEAL - REUTERS
U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) provider NextDecade has signed a non-binding agreement with Saudi Aramco 2222.SE to supply 1.2 million tonnes per ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEWBUILDING PRICES CLIMB 3% TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS - NIELS RASMUSSEN
“Since the start of the year, newbuilding prices have risen 3% to their highest level since 2008. Compared to their most recent low in late 2 ...
Friday, 14 June 24
INDIA TARGETS HIGHER DOMESTIC COAL PRODUCTION, REDUCED IMPORTS: GOVT - REUTERS
India wants to reduce coal imports and increase domestic production, federal coal minister G. Kishan Reddy said on Thursday.
The cou ...
Thursday, 13 June 24
US LNG TO ASIA FOR POWER GENERATION EXPECTED TO CUT EMISSIONS VERSUS COAL - RYSTAD ENERGY
The value-chain emissions of liquified natural gas (LNG) are lower on average than for coal-fired power generation, even when the fuel is shipp ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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