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Friday, 10 November 23
COAL USE AT U.S. POWER PLANTS CONTINUES DOWNWARD SPIRAL; FULL IMPACT ON MINES TO BE FELT IN 2024 - IEEFA
This year, the use of coal by the U.S.’s power producers has been so anemic that the fuel has not achieved a 20% market share in any month so far, and the current outlook predicts low levels for the rest of the year. To put that into perspective, coal’s power market share had never been less than 20% in any month before 2020, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
In July 2023, for example, coal hit its high point for the year so far, providing 19.1% of the country’s power; in August its market share was 19.0%. That performance stands in stark contrast to 2021, when coal’s market share in both July and August was more than 25%—roughly 6 percentage points higher. The low point this spring occurred in April and May, between the winter heating and summer cooling seasons, when coal’s market share slumped to just 13.8%—the first time it has ever fallen below 15%.
Despite hotter summer temperatures and increased power demand to run air conditioning in some parts of the country this summer, the use of coal has fallen. This is a result of lower prices for gas—coal’s primary fossil-fuel competitor—and a surge in utility-scale solar generation, which was up 20% in July from July 2022, and up 23% in August from a year ago.
The EIA’s current outlook suggests even more deterioration for coal power in the coming months. The energy agency not only sees coal’s November market share returning to the record-low market share in the spring, but also dropping even more in 2024, to as low as 10 to 13% in both the spring and fall.
The decision by plant owners to scale back their use of coal can be seen in at least two measures. First, power generation at coal plants has fallen every single month in 2023 compared to the same months in 2022, both at those owned by utilities and those owned by independent power producers (IPPs)—and by a lot. Through August, utility coal generation has dropped an average of 19.7%. At IPP coal plants, which are more sensitive to competitive pressures, generation has fallen even more—declining an average of 29.7%, a sign that the economics of selling coal-fired power have deteriorated significantly this year.
At the same time, coal stockpiles have surged, to almost 130 million tons in June, and remain high. That’s enough to run coal plants for 113 days, or almost four months, based on the average amount of coal used over the previous year. This measure, called “days of burn,” is more useful than simply looking at the size of the coal piles, since there are fewer coal plants than in the past, and the ones that are still operating are running less. In fact, the amount of coal used each day in the U.S. has fallen from about 2.8 million tons a day in 2008 to roughly 1.1 million tons a day this year—a 62% drop.
It can take a long time to bring such large stockpiles down to levels power producers are more comfortable with—historically around 50 to 60 days’ supply. It took 16 months to lower stockpiles from the May 2020 peak of 120 days of burn, and it took 34 months—almost three years— to lower stockpiles after a May 2016 peak of 105 days of burn. The speed of the drawdown will also be influenced by other factors like warm winter weather, the health of the U.S. economy, and gas prices.
To cut stockpiles, coal-plant owners are likely to turn to a straightforward solution: Buy less coal.
That, of course, would directly affect coal mining in the U.S., and the EIA is already warning that a significant production downturn is coming for the remainder of 2023 and throughout 2024. Overall, coal output could fall to 466 million tons in 2024, a 25 percent decline of 115 million tons from 2023 levels, the EIA says. If that figure holds, it would be the smallest annual U.S. coal production since 1962—but most of the years between 1936 and 1957 also had higher output.
Western producers, which include the nation’s largest mines in the Powder River Basin, could be hardest hit. The EIA is anticipating output in the region to slump 30% next year, or 73 million tons, to just 246 million tons. That would be the region’s lowest production in at least 40 years. Appalachian production doesn’t fare much better. There, the EIA expects production to fall almost 22%, or 29 million tons, to just 132 million tons. For comparison, when coal output in Appalachia peaked in 1990, almost four times as much of the fuel was mined.
After a sharp drop in coal demand in 2020 due to the pandemic, output from U.S. coal producers moderately rebounded and stabilized in 2021. Then, in 2022, coal prices soared after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which broadly improved the financial health of U.S. coal companies—but provided only a modest improvement in the volume of coal produced, which declined again this year.
That temporary reprieve has ended. Coal companies are now staring at a substantial new downturn driven by an accelerating decline in domestic demand.
Source: IEEFA
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Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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Friday, 02 February 24
DRY BULK MARKET: THE DOWNWARD REVISION IN THE GROWTH OF CAPESIZE TONNE DAYS IN JANUARY WITH THE BCI DROPPING - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In the last week of January, the dry freight market sustained weakness in the Capesize segment, while the number of ballasters in the Southeast (SE ...
Friday, 02 February 24
COAL INDIA ACHIEVES NEARLY 80% OF ITS FY24 PRODUCTION TARGET IN TEN MONTHS - CNBCTV18
For the month of January, the company’s production grew by 9.1% from the same period last year to 78.4 Million Tonnes (MT), from 71.9 MT last ...
Thursday, 01 February 24
CHINA'S WIND, SOLAR CAPACITY TO OVERTAKE COAL IN 2024 - INDUSTRY BODY, REUTERS REPORTED
China’s installed wind and solar capacity is expected to overtake coal for the first time this year, according to industry forecasts.
&nb ...
Thursday, 01 February 24
ANTI-DEDUCTION CLAUSES: CAN A CHARTERER WITHHOLD HIRE WITHOUT AN OWNER'S CONSENT? - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Summary
In The Anna Dorothea, the Court found that where a charterparty provides that no deduction from hire may be m ...
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Showing 16 to 20 news of total 6846 |
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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