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Thursday, 18 February 10
DECOUPLING FROM OIL PRICES ON STRONG GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND
A recent coal market conference in Singapore focused on two main issues –— the demand for coal as a source of energy, and coal pricing.
Spokespersons from different countries, including Thailand, South Korea, Mongolia, India and China highlighted their domestic demand for power generation, with coal as their main source of energy, thereby limiting coal exports.
The views were in line with ours that coal demand will remain buoyant in the mid-to-long term since it is a cheaper source of energy relative to oil and gas. Demand for energy will remain strong as about 60 percent of the world’s population has partial or no access to electricity.
Demand for coal as a source of energy is growing faster than for other sources. In 2000-2008, the average annual demand growth rate for coal was 4.7 percent, higher than for gas at 2.7 percent and 1.4 percent for oil.
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“Japan’s coal demand is expected to slow on the back of two factors:
1. the Japanese government policy to reduce carbon dioxide emissions
2. Japan’s new tax law on coal will reduce the cost effectiveness of using it”
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A World Energy Agency analyst says power generation based on all types of energy except oil is projected to grow. With world energy demand to grow at 40 percent between 2007 and 2030 and an estimated 1.3B people or 16 percent of the world’s population still lacking electricity by 2030, long-term demand for coal will rise most in absolute terms.
Speakers from India and China were also very positive on coal demand, given their rising power needs. The Indian government is projected to add 78 gigawatts (GW) of power by 2012, while power demand is expected to rise from 147 GW now to 950 GW by 2030.
China is expecting to double its power needs by 2020. About 60 percent of coal output in 2007-2030 is projected to come from China.
Spokespersons from Thailand and Vietnam highlighted their domestic coal needs for power projects, so reducing coal supply to export markets. Vietnam now supplies about 50 percent or 24 million tons of its coal for exports, but going forward this will fall to 3 million tons, despite production rising from 48 million tons in 2009 to about 105 million tons by 2025. For Thailand, coal consumption is going to increase from 34.5 million tons in 2008 to 48.6 million tons by 2021.
Only the speaker from Mongolia said it’s coal reserves of 162.3 billion tons would enable it to increase supply to the international market.
Separately, Japan’s coal demand is expected to slow on the back of two factors: 1. the Japanese government policy to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and 2. Japan’s new tax law on coal will reduce the cost effectiveness of using it.
Closer to home, 2009 coal output in Indonesia increased to 240 million tons, with exports accounting for 70 percent. This percentage will gradually reduce as domestic coal demand rises with more coal-fired power projects. Indonesia is expected to add 20GW of power by 2015. The electricity sector now absorbs 65 percent of domestic coal consumption with the cement industry as the second largest consumer.
Arpeni Pratama Ocean Line, Indonesia’s leading shipping company, expects coal to account for 33 percent of the country’s total energy mix by 2025, up from 19 percent now.
As energy demand remains strong world wide, coal consumption will continue to increase going forward. Strong coal demand could result in decoupling between oil and coal prices, with continued upward trends in future coal prices.
Source: The Jakarta Post
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Thursday, 18 February 10
THE INDIAN MARKET IS FIRMING A BIT, DUE TO LACK OF TONNAGE IN THE REGION
HANDY
The BSI still decline as holidays around the world have reduced trading.
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Thursday, 18 February 10
COAL MINERS FACE SHUTDOWN OVER RECLAMATION FUNDING
Three coal mining companies may be forced to temporarily stop operations this year if they fail to provide funding for a site-reclamation program.
...
Thursday, 18 February 10
INDONESIA TO INVITE BIDS FOR $1.5 BLN COAL RAILWAY IN MAY
Indonesia plans to invite investors to bid for contracts to build a $1.5 billion coal railway line in Central Kalimantan, a planning ministry offici ...
Thursday, 18 February 10
INDONESIA ZONING RULE THREATENS MINING - INDUSTRY
Reuters reported that, confusion over a new Indonesian land use regulation could halt the operations of some mining firms, providing a new threat to ...
Wednesday, 17 February 10
LAND OVERLAPPING UNAVOIDABLE
Land overlapping issues in the mining industry is unavoidable due to the availability of mineral, coal, and oil resources which are often located be ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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