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Friday, 29 January 10
INDIA STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DOUBLE, BOOST SOUTH AFRICA
.jpg) * SAfrica seen shipping 75 pct of its coal to Asia in 2010
* Logistics woes hamper SAfrica exports, India imports
India's steam coal imports are expected to double to 100 million tonnes in three to four years on the back of growing power demand, boosting South Africa's exports, industry players said on Thursday.
McCloskey, mjunction Services, CBB Energy and Emirates Trading Agency estimate the Asian country imported between 43 million and 55 million tonnes of steam coal last year.
South Africa shipped 17.7 million tonnes of its coal to India, the world's third largest consumer of the commodity, with Asia in total taking 25.1 million tonnes.
This year the Asian continent is expected to become South Africa's primary coal export destination, with some analysts estimating up to 75 percent of the country's product will go east.
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“India's steam coal imports are expected to double to 100 million tons in three to four years” - Industry players
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"People are saying that 75 percent will be going east rather than west this year and that sounds very feasible," David Price, a coal forecaster at McCloskey consultancy, told Reuters on the sidelines of a coal exports conference.
There are already enquiries from India and China for far more coal than is available for the first quarter, making a scramble among buyers and a hike in prices inevitable, producers said.
Buyers at the conference declined to comment on price prospects.
Indian buyers have been waiting since October for South African prices to fall back to $50.00, but prices rose steadily in November and surged in December and early January to around $90.00 a tonne FOB Richards Bay.
Alexandre Levy, a Geneva-based trader at CBB Energy, said 32 percent of coal imports to India came from South Africa and 63 percent came from Indonesia. That is bound to change, he said.
"Indonesia dominates but South African coal has gained market share," he said.
India is a price rather than quality-driven market. End-users have switched to South African from Indonesian coal to a large extent because the delivered cost of South African coal has offered a saving of several dollars per tonne.
Viresh Oberoi, a managing director at Tata Steel-linked mjunction, estimates South Africa will supply India with some 25 million tonnes of coal by 2012 to feed its power, steel and cement industries, a figure others called conservative.
China, the world's largest producer which became a net importer this year after domestic coal became more expensive than imports, may also turn to the
“Offshore trans-shipment is a viable alternative in India because it is cheaper and faster to implement, is re-locatable and environmentally friendly"
- Sanjeev Mathur, ETA Dubai
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South African product.
In 2009, the Asian giant imported 1.4 million tonnes of South Africa's coal and is seen hungry for much more.
NO ROLLING STOCK
South African exports have been curbed at 61 million tonnes in 2009 due to rail transport limitations, but are seen rising to 65 million this year. In the medium term, logistics group Transnet hopes to raise its capacity to 81 million tonnes.
A lack of infrastructure and capacity at India's ports could also hamper the delivery of imported coal, with an estimated 55 percent of coal imports to be handled by minor ports with low draft and poor cargo off-loading facilities.
"Port development costs are prohibitive and time consuming, and are also not environmentally friendly. (But) offshore trans-shipment is a viable alternative because it is cheaper and faster to implement, is re-locatable and environmentally friendly," said Sanjeev Mathur, a general manager for transhipment at Dubai-based Emirates Trading Agency.
Source: Reuters
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Thursday, 28 January 10
COAL - VIETNAM / TRADE
Vietnam expects to turn into a coal importer within three years, spurred by an industrial boom and rising power consumption, a senior executive with ...
Thursday, 28 January 10
JAPAN STEELMAKERS OPPOSE QUARTERLY COAL CONTRACTS
Japanese steelmakers oppose miner BHP Billiton's attempt to switch to quarterly contracts from annual deals for supplying coal, as the change would ...
Thursday, 28 January 10
BHP MAY SELL 25% STAKE IN INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT
BHP Billiton Ltd. plans to sell only a 25 percent stake in a coal project in Indonesia as it wants to retain control of the asset, said Indra Dianna ...
Thursday, 28 January 10
TRANSNET ASPIRES TO 81MT/Y COAL EXPORT CAPACITY
South African State-owned rail transport enterprise Transnet wants to increase coal-line rail capacity to 81-million tons a year as part of its Quan ...
Wednesday, 27 January 10
ASIA'S 2010 STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO REACH 460 MLN T
* China to import up to 100 mln T of steam coal in 2010
* China, India seen investing in southern Africa assets
Asian imports of steam coal will ...
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