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Wednesday, 16 December 09
CHINA 2010 COAL TERM PRICES SEEN RISING 8% ON YEAR
Term prices of thermal coal for 2010 in China are expected to rise about 8 percent from this year's levels, as demand for power has been roaring back due to steady economic recovery, analysts and industry officials said.
But higher coal prices may bring a tough year for power plants, in the absence of power tariff hikes or pricing scheme reforms.
Six analysts surveyed by Reuters expect term prices for thermal coal, used in power generation, to rise between 5 and 20 percent from this year's levels, with consensus around 8 percent.
"I think an 8 to 10 percent rise would be reasonable, given the rapid climb in spot prices, as well as strong demand for coal and power," said Martin Wang, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities in Hong Kong.
"Utilities, however, are facing a tough year. They might still be able to make a profit, after they've phased out the inefficient power generators. But the profit margin would vary from company to company."
Coal miners and power plants were in a stalemate over this year's term prices for months, before some power plants quietly accepted price hikes demanded by coal miners, as power consumption recovered and spot coal prices strengthened.
Spot thermal coal prices in Qinhuangdao, the country's top coal shipping port, rose nearly 30 percent from mid-September, when prices started to steadily climb.
Coal with calorific value of 5,500 kcal/kg (NAR) was quoted in the range of 730 yuan to 750 yuan ($106,9 - $109,9) a tonne, according to the Qinhuangdao Seaborne Coal Market.
The current price is about 37 percent higher than 540 yuan a tonne, the benchmark free-on-board term price offered by Shenhua, China's top coal producer.
Meanwhile, China's power generation in November rose 26,9 percent on the year, the fastest growth in nearly 4 years, as industrial activities continued to accelerate and cold weather spurred heating demand.
TOUGH YEAR AHEAD FOR UTILITIES
Power utilities, which just returned to profit this year due to lower coal prices, are again facing steep rises in production cost and coal miners with increasing negotiating power.
"There is an increasing monopoly in the coal industry, as the consolidation is pushing forward. But the power sector is still segmented," said an executive at a large power generating group.
China's five major power generating groups, including the parents of GD Power Development Co Ltd, China Power International, Datang International Power Generation Co Ltd, Huadian Power and Huaneng Power International, generate nearly half of national output.
"We can't do anything. If coal costs rise, we'll probably see sector-wise losses again," said the executive.
Beijing has cancelled the annual coal price negotiating conference and instead asked suppliers and users to complete deals within a month, while pledging to improve the power tariff pricing scheme and keep coal prices stable.
Source: Reuters / Mining weekly
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Friday, 07 August 09
COAL-PRICE FORECAST RAISED AT MERRILL ON CHINA, INDIA DEMAND
Bloomberg reported that, Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch & Co. unit increased its price forecast for Asian power-station coal becaus ...
Friday, 07 August 09
CHINESE DEMAND FOR FOREIGN COAL SOARS
Mining Weekly reported that, Chinese coal imports rocketed by 126,3%, year-on-year, in the first half of this year, the country’s customs auth ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
RICHARDS BAY COAL SHIPMENTS FELL 3% ON YEAR IN JULY
Bloomberg reported that, Richards Bay Coal Terminal, Africa’s largest coal-export facility, exported 3 percent less of the fuel in July than i ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
NTPC LOOKS TO BYPASS STATE TRADING FIRMS ON COAL IMPORT
A reduced coal import bill for NTPC could lead to lower power tariffs
Live mint.com reported that, India’s largest power generation utility ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
CHINA JULY COAL IMPORTS AT 9.5 MLN T, DEMAND FIRM
* Coal imports at key ports in July 2.8 times year-ago levels
* July coal imports down nearly 40 percent from June
* China still buying overseas c ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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