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Wednesday, 16 December 09
CHINA 2010 COAL TERM PRICES SEEN RISING 8% ON YEAR
Term prices of thermal coal for 2010 in China are expected to rise about 8 percent from this year's levels, as demand for power has been roaring back due to steady economic recovery, analysts and industry officials said.
But higher coal prices may bring a tough year for power plants, in the absence of power tariff hikes or pricing scheme reforms.
Six analysts surveyed by Reuters expect term prices for thermal coal, used in power generation, to rise between 5 and 20 percent from this year's levels, with consensus around 8 percent.
"I think an 8 to 10 percent rise would be reasonable, given the rapid climb in spot prices, as well as strong demand for coal and power," said Martin Wang, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities in Hong Kong.
"Utilities, however, are facing a tough year. They might still be able to make a profit, after they've phased out the inefficient power generators. But the profit margin would vary from company to company."
Coal miners and power plants were in a stalemate over this year's term prices for months, before some power plants quietly accepted price hikes demanded by coal miners, as power consumption recovered and spot coal prices strengthened.
Spot thermal coal prices in Qinhuangdao, the country's top coal shipping port, rose nearly 30 percent from mid-September, when prices started to steadily climb.
Coal with calorific value of 5,500 kcal/kg (NAR) was quoted in the range of 730 yuan to 750 yuan ($106,9 - $109,9) a tonne, according to the Qinhuangdao Seaborne Coal Market.
The current price is about 37 percent higher than 540 yuan a tonne, the benchmark free-on-board term price offered by Shenhua, China's top coal producer.
Meanwhile, China's power generation in November rose 26,9 percent on the year, the fastest growth in nearly 4 years, as industrial activities continued to accelerate and cold weather spurred heating demand.
TOUGH YEAR AHEAD FOR UTILITIES
Power utilities, which just returned to profit this year due to lower coal prices, are again facing steep rises in production cost and coal miners with increasing negotiating power.
"There is an increasing monopoly in the coal industry, as the consolidation is pushing forward. But the power sector is still segmented," said an executive at a large power generating group.
China's five major power generating groups, including the parents of GD Power Development Co Ltd, China Power International, Datang International Power Generation Co Ltd, Huadian Power and Huaneng Power International, generate nearly half of national output.
"We can't do anything. If coal costs rise, we'll probably see sector-wise losses again," said the executive.
Beijing has cancelled the annual coal price negotiating conference and instead asked suppliers and users to complete deals within a month, while pledging to improve the power tariff pricing scheme and keep coal prices stable.
Source: Reuters / Mining weekly
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Wednesday, 10 February 10
JPMORGAN FORECASTS A 5.7% GROWTH IN SEABORNE IRON ORE SHIPMENTS, 3.8% FOR COAL AND GRAIN THIS YEAR
This year volumes of iron ore transportation by sea may grow to 5.7%, coal and grain up 3.8% over numbers in 2009, Ukrrudprom reports citing analyst ...
Wednesday, 10 February 10
ANGLO AMERICAN TIPS COAL PRICE RISE AFTER RAIN, AUSTRALIAN SAYS
Anglo American Plc expects coking coal contract prices to rise after weeks of heavy rain in Queensland state cut output by as much as 10 million met ...
Wednesday, 10 February 10
KANGAROO RESOURCES COMMENCES MINING AT MAMAHAK COKING COAL PROJECT
International coal producer Kangaroo Resources has kicked off mining at its second Indonesian coal operation, the Mamahak Coking Coal Project in Eas ...
Wednesday, 10 February 10
CHINA DENIES CLIVE PALMER'S COAL DEAL
ONE of China's biggest government-owned companies yesterday repudiated mining billionaire Clive Palmer for overstating what he said was Australia' ...
Tuesday, 09 February 10
INDIANS SAY SEEKING COAL BARGAINS VIA INDEX PRICES
* Indonesian cheaper than S.African - traders
* End-users wait for price falls before tendering
Indian coal traders responsible for the bulk of ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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